Know which ads will scale. Before they spend.
A calibrated probability-to-scale score on every new creative from day zero. Refined as delivery data lands. Settled into a verdict by day 3 — instead of day 7 and a burned budget.
First score
From creative structure alone — before the first impression.
Verdict
Scale, wait, or cut — with confidence and reason codes.
Outcome verified
Every verdict graded against what actually happened.
Three days from launch to a decision you can defend.
Scored from structure alone
The fingerprint — hook, voice, concept, format — is compared against every winner and loser pattern in your account history. No spend required.
Verdict with evidence
Early delivery signals and the Andromeda state join the score. The engine issues scale / wait / cut — each with a confidence and reason codes.
Graded against reality
When the outcome matures, the verdict is scored against it. Hits and misses feed the next retrain — accuracy is earned, not claimed.
Three creatives. Three calls. Graded in the open.
From the Hungry Minds account — what the engine said, what it cost to find out, and what actually happened.
- p(scale)
- 0.92
- spend at verdict
- $1,840
- ROAS
- 4.3x
- L3 state
- retrieval winner
- maturation
- matured jun 02
- p(scale)
- 0.61
- spend at verdict
- $420
- ROAS
- 1.8x
- L3 state
- audience search
- maturation
- matures jun 12
- p(scale)
- 0.87
- spend at verdict
- $310
- ROAS
- 0.5x
- L3 state
- similarity suppressed
- maturation
- matured may 28
We publish our accuracy. Ask your other vendors to do the same.
Every version of the Forecast Engine ships with a public model card: training data volume, held-out test performance, calibration curves, and known failure modes. If the numbers dip, you see it before we do the marketing.
The verdict isn't the end. It's a prediction we keep score on.
Every verdict matures at day 14 and is graded against the real outcome. The rolling 30-day accuracy is on your dashboard — not in a sales deck. When the model drifts, retraining is triggered automatically.
A score nobody sees is a score nobody acts on.
Slack verdict alerts
Scale / wait / cut lands in your channel the moment it settles.
Weekly verdict digest
Every open verdict, graded outcome, and accuracy shift — one email.
API & webhooks
Pipe verdicts into your own automation, BI, or buying rules.
Built for teams that keep score.
Day-0 probability-to-scale score
Scored from the creative fingerprint before any spend.
Day-3 verdict with confidence
Scale / wait / cut — each with probability and reason codes.
Maturation grading at day 14
Every verdict scored against the real outcome.
Public model card
AUC, training volume, calibration — published every version.
Rolling accuracy dashboard
30-day verdict accuracy, always visible, never curated.
Automatic drift retraining
Accuracy dips trigger retrains — no stale model decisions.
Account-specific patterns
Trained on your winners and losers, not a generic corpus.
Spend-at-verdict tracking
Know exactly what each decision cost to reach.
Slack, email & API delivery
Verdicts land where your team actually works.
Stop funding losers for three days. Get the number on day zero.
Book a demo and we'll score a batch of your unlaunched creatives live — and show you the verdicts we'd have called on last quarter's spend.